P
Prognosist
P
Home › England › Premier League › Liverpool — Wolves

Predictions by Market: Liverpool vs Wolves

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Liverpool
Liverpool
Home · last 5 W L D L D
Kick-off
Sat 27 Dec · 15:00
2:1
Full-time
Wolves
Wolves
L D L D D Away · last 5
Anfield · Liverpool Referee Simon Hooper, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LIV
79%
Best 1.25
Draw
16%
Best 6.40
Away Win · WOL
6%
Best 11.79
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.00
Fair odds
6.44
book 7.00 · +8.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 16% · EV +8.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (79%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 15.5%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 5.7%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 67.9%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.6%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32.1%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 24.4%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.1%
Odds 20.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.9%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 75.6%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 58.2%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 41.8%
Odds 2.08
Show model details
Implied probability 48.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 5.7%
Odds 6.45
Show model details
Implied probability 15.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.3%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 21.2%
Odds 4.46
Show model details
Implied probability 22.4%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
LIV – WOL @ 7.00
+8.7%
Edge
Forecast →