P
Prognosist
P
Home › Italy › Serie A › Como — Cagliari

Predictions by Market: Como vs Cagliari

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Como
Como
Home · last 5 W D W W W
Kick-off
Sat 08 Nov · 14:00
0:0
Full-time
Cagliari
Cagliari
W D L W W Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Como Referee Ivano Pezzuto, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · COM
69%
Best 1.56
Draw
21%
Best 4.00
Away Win · CAG
10%
Best 6.20
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 3.85
Fair odds
3.52
book 3.85 · +9.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +9.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (72%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 68.7%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 21.4%
Odds 4.52
Show model details
Implied probability 22.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 9.9%
Odds 7.50
Show model details
Implied probability 13.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.97
Show model details
Implied probability 50.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 45.9%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 28.4%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 75.2%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.1%
Odds 11.00
Show model details
Implied probability 9.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.9%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 71.6%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 24.8%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 54.5%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 45.5%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 68.7%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 9.9%
Odds 5.24
Show model details
Implied probability 19.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 31.3%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 90.1%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
COM – CAG @ 3.85
+9.5%
Edge
Forecast →