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Home › Italy › Serie A › Pisa — Cremonese

Pisa vs Cremonese 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Pisa
Pisa
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Fri 07 Nov · 19:45
1:0
Full-time
Cremonese
Cremonese
L L W W L Away · last 5
Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani · Pisa Referee Matteo Marcenaro, Italy
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 69% · book 1.68 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 62% · book 1.87 ✓
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 65% · book 1.67 ✗
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
0.81 – 0.80
Δ +0.01
Possession
38% – 62%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.67 — +8.6% better than the market.

Cremonese arrives with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Pisa's defensive solidity at home could keep things tight, but Cremonese's sharper attack and consistent point returns hint at a controlled game favoring the visitors.

  • Cremonese's offensive edge challenges Pisa's defense.
  • Home side's recent form shows signs of struggle.
  • Match likely to be moderately paced with limited goals.

Expect a tactical battle where Cremonese's quality and form may tip the balance, while Pisa aims to leverage home familiarity and defensive resilience.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.67 ✗ Lost
AI 65% Implied 60% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

PIS 3-5-2 · CRE 3-1-4-2
Subs used · PIS
46' Leris ↑ · Cuadrado ↓
67' Marin ↑ · Vural ↓
67' Tramoni ↑ · Moreo ↓
68' Piccinini ↑ · Akinsanmiro ↓
90+1' Meister ↑ · Nzola ↓
Subs used · CRE
77' Sarmiento ↑ · Payero ↓
77' Floriani ↑ · Vazquez ↓
77' Bonazzoli ↑ · Faye ↓
90+1' Johnsen ↑ · Terracciano ↓

Statistics

PIS 1 – 0 CRE
38%
Possession (%)
62%
0.81
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.80
13
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
6
11
Shots Inside Box
9
4
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
1
11
Fouls
17
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
4
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match events

16 · 1 – 0
Michel Aebischer
Yellow Card
▮
17'
39'
▮
Mikayil Faye
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
M. Leris ↓ · J. Cuadrado ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
Isak Vural
Yellow Card
▮
48'
M. Marin ↓ · I. Vural ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
67'
M. Tramoni ↓ · S. Moreo ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
67'
G. Piccinini ↓ · E. Akinsanmiro ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
68'
I. Toure
Assist · M. Tramoni · 1–0
⚽
75'
77'
⇄
J. Sarmiento ↓ · M. Payero ↑
Substitution 1
77'
⇄
R. Floriani ↓ · F. Vazquez ↑
Substitution 2
77'
⇄
F. Bonazzoli ↓ · M. Faye ↑
Substitution 3
78'
▮
Filippo Terracciano
Yellow Card
Marius Marin
Yellow Card
▮
83'
H. Meister ↓ · M. Nzola ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+1'
90+1'
⇄
D. Johnsen ↓ · F. Terracciano ↑
Substitution 4
Gabriele Piccinini
Yellow Card
▮
90+5'
Full-time · 1 – 0

Match recap

Pisa beat Cremonese 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 84% of their passes. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: I. Toure (75').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.82 units (Brier 0.176).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.68 — 69% Cashed +0.68 Cashed
BTTS No 1.87 — 62% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.67 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.52 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.36 — 35% Cashed +1.36 Cashed
BTTS Yes 2.02 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.40 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.01 — 42% Cashed +2.01 Cashed
Away Win 3.65 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 8.00 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.24 — 86% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Draw 3.20 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.34 — 64% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.44 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.10 — 84% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.58 — 35% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Over 3.5 4.60 — 14% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.82u −17% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
PIS – CRE @ 1.67
+8.6%
Edge
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