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Home › Italy › Serie A › AC Milan — AS Roma

Predictions by Market: AC Milan vs AS Roma

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
AC Milan
AC Milan
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sun 02 Nov · 19:45
1:0
Full-time
AS Roma
AS Roma
W W W W W Away · last 5
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza · Milan Referee Marco Guida, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · MIL
54%
Best 2.27
Draw
27%
Best 3.06
Away Win · ROM
19%
Best 3.73
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 4.50
Fair odds
4.27
book 4.50 · +5.4% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 23% · EV +5.4%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (77%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 54.3%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27.2%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 18.5%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 44.1%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 55.9%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 70%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 30%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.1%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.9%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 48.1%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 54.3%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 18.5%
Odds 2.81
Show model details
Implied probability 35.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 45.7%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 81.5%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
MIL – ROM @ 4.50
+5.4%
Edge
Forecast →