P
Prognosist
P
Home › Ukraine › Ukraine Premier League › Polessya — Zorya Luhansk

Predictions by Market: Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk

Ukraine   /   Ukraine Premier League Value pick inside
Polessya
Polessya
Home · last 5 W W W W D
Kick-off
Mon 17 Aug · 15:00
1:2
Full-time
Zorya Luhansk
Zorya Luhansk
L D D L W Away · last 5
Tsentralnyi Stadion · Zhytomyr Referee O. Afanasyev

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · POL
57%
Best 1.53
Draw
24%
Best 4.18
Away Win · ZOR
19%
Best 6.40
Value pick
Away Win
@ 5.65
Fair odds
5.19
book 5.65 · +8.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 19% · EV +8.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (57%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 57.1%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 19.3%
Odds 5.65
Show model details
Implied probability 17.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.6%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 2 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 52%
Odds 1.95
Show model details
Implied probability 51.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 48%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.99
Show model details
Implied probability 50.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.1%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 42.9%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 80.8%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
POL – ZOR @ 5.65
+8.8%
Edge
Forecast →