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Home › England › Premier League › Leeds — Crystal Palace

Predictions by Market: Leeds vs Crystal Palace

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Leeds
Leeds
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 20:00
4:1
Full-time
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
L D L D L Away · last 5
Elland Road · Leeds Referee Thomas Bramall, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LEE
29%
Best 2.72
Draw
28%
Best 3.10
Away Win · CRY
44%
Best 2.75
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.57
book 4.00 · +12.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +12.1%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (72%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 28.9%
Odds 2.73
Show model details
Implied probability 36.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.86
Show model details
Implied probability 35%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 27.5%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 49.9%
Odds 2.17
Show model details
Implied probability 46.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 28%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.1%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.1%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds 3.36
Show model details
Implied probability 29.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.9%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 43.6%
Odds 2.01
Show model details
Implied probability 49.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 28.9%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 71.1%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 56.4%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
LEE – CRY @ 4.00
+12.1%
Edge
Forecast →