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Home › Zbrojovka Brno — FK Jablonec

Zbrojovka Brno vs FK Jablonec 0:1: Match Review & Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Zbrojovka Brno
Zbrojovka Brno
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 13:00
0:1
Full-time
FK Jablonec
FK Jablonec
L W L D W Away · last 5
Referee D. Vokoun
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.95 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 47% · book 2.45 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 54% · book 2.11 ✓
Total goals
1
0 · 1
xG (open play)
0.56 – 1.26
Δ −0.70
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.95 — +14.4% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.95 ✓ Cashed
AI 59% Implied 51% +0.95u
+95%
ROI on stake

Statistics

BRN 0 – 1 JAB
49%
Possession (%)
51%
0.56
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.26
9
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
6
4
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
7
6
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
2
15
Fouls
12
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
81%
2
Yellow Cards
1
5
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

FK Jablonec won 1–0 away at Zbrojovka Brno. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.26 to 0.56. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 9, 6 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.38 units (Brier 0.220).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.95 — 59% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Home Win 2.45 — 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.11 — 54% Cashed +1.11 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.85 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.70 — 27% Cashed +1.70 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.44 — 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 — 79% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.53 — 53% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Draw 3.40 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.25 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −1.38u −13% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
BRN – JAB @ 1.95
+14.4%
Edge
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