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Home › Mlada Boleslav — Zbrojovka Brno

Mlada Boleslav vs Zbrojovka Brno 2:0: Match Review & Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Mlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav
Home · last 5 W W L W L
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 13:00
2:0
Full-time
Zbrojovka Brno
Zbrojovka Brno
W L W L L Away · last 5
Lokotrans Arena · Mlada Boleslav Referee Dominik Stary, Czechia
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.30 ✓
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 47% · book 2.10 ✓
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 53% · book 1.73 ✗
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.03 – 2.37
Δ −1.34
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.30 — +12.1% better than the market.

Mlada Boleslav shows strong home momentum with recent wins and a higher points per game, suggesting they can control the pace at Lokotrans Arena. Their offensive edge and better form hint at a pressing advantage against Zbrojovka Brno, who have been less consistent away. The match could see a compact defensive effort from Brno, aiming to frustrate the hosts and capitalize on counterattacks.

  • Home side’s recent form and scoring potential
  • Brno’s resilience on the road
  • Moderate goal environment expected

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.30 ✓ Cashed
AI 49% Implied 43% +1.30u
+130%
ROI on stake

Statistics

MLA 2 – 0 BRN
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.03
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.37
10
Total Shots
20
5
Shots on Target
6
4
Shots off Target
8
6
Shots Inside Box
14
8
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
2
6
Fouls
10
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
2
Yellow Cards
0
6
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

Mlada Boleslav beat Zbrojovka Brno 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.37 to 1.03. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 10, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 7 graded markets, 3 landed and 4 missed, for a net -1.24 units (Brier 0.188).

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.30 — 49% Cashed +1.30 Cashed
Home Win 2.10 — 47% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.73 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.60 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.36 — 72% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Away Win 3.41 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.60 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each — — — 3 W · 4 L −1.24u −18% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
MLA – BRN @ 2.30
+12.1%
Edge
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