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Prognosist
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Home Plzen — Slovácko

Match Plzen vs Slovácko August 30, 2026 — Result and Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Plzen
Plzen
Home · last 5 D D W D W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 15:00
1:1
Full-time
Slovácko
Slovácko
L L L D D Away · last 5
Referee J. Benes
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 42% · book 2.46
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 53% · book 1.83
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 1.91
Total goals
2
1 · 1
xG (open play)
1.28 – 0.41
Δ +0.87
Possession
56% – 44%
AI accuracy
5 / 9
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.46 — +3.4% better than the market.

Plzen holds a slight edge with better recent form and home momentum, despite a modest quality gap. Their ability to control the game and create chances could challenge Slovácko’s defense, which has struggled lately. Expect a moderately paced match with potential for a tight scoreline given both sides’ cautious approach and past low-scoring encounters.

  • Home side’s steadier form and home comfort
  • Slovácko’s defensive vulnerabilities under pressure
  • Moderate tempo likely to limit goal frenzy

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.46 ✓ Cashed
AI 42% Implied 41% +1.46u
+146%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

PLZ 11 SLO
56%
Possession (%)
44%
1.28
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.41
14
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
5
8
Shots Inside Box
4
5
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
20
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
4
Yellow Cards
8
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Plzen and Slovácko drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.28 to 0.41. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 8, 4 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 12 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 5 landed and 4 missed, for a net +5.36 units (Brier 0.296).

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 5 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.46 42% Cashed +1.46 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.83 53% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
BTTS No 1.91 47% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 9.35 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 3.60 36% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.07 83% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.50 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.30 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 5.40 19% Cashed +4.40 Cashed
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 4 L +5.36u +60% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
PLZ – SLO @ 2.46
+3.4%
Edge
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