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Home › Teplice — Zbrojovka Brno

Teplice vs Zbrojovka Brno 0:2: Match Review & Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Teplice
Teplice
Home · last 5 L W W L W
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 15:00
0:2
Full-time
Zbrojovka Brno
Zbrojovka Brno
W L W L L Away · last 5
AGC Arena Na Stinadlech · Teplice Referee Kubecka Matej, Czechia
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.80 ✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 44% · book 2.25 ✗
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 35% · book 2.75 ✗
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
0.82 – 0.69
Δ +0.13
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.80 — +0.4% better than the market.

Teplice show stronger recent form and a clear home momentum, holding a higher points-per-game rate. Their offensive potential outpaces Zbrojovka Brno’s defensive resilience, suggesting a pressing edge in attack. The match hints at a moderately open tempo, supported by odds favoring over 2.5 goals, indicating chances for multiple goal opportunities.

  • Home side’s better form and scoring threat
  • Brno’s defensive challenges against Teplice’s attack
  • Potential for a lively, goal-involved game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.80 ✗ Lost
AI 56% Implied 56% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

TEP 0 – 2 BRN
52%
Possession (%)
48%
0.82
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.69
15
Total Shots
7
2
Shots on Target
3
7
Shots off Target
3
8
Shots Inside Box
5
4
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
13
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
73%
0
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Zbrojovka Brno won 2–0 away at Teplice. At half-time it was 0–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 7, 2 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.66 units (Brier 0.266).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.80 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.25 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.75 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.20 — 43% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.63 — 56% Cashed +0.63 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.62 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.02 — 44% Cashed +1.02 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.36 — 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.09 — 30% Cashed +2.09 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.40 — 65% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Draw 3.50 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −0.66u −6% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
TEP – BRN @ 1.80
+0.4%
Edge
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