Match Sigma Olomouc vs Pardubice August 23, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.19 — +7.0% better than the market.

Sigma Olomouc shows stronger recent form and home momentum against a struggling Pardubice side. The home team’s ability to convert chances and maintain pressure is evident from their higher expected goals before the match.

Olomouc’s compact block and set-piece threat could exploit Pardubice’s defensive frailties.
Despite Pardubice’s slightly better recent points per game, their away struggles and poor form suggest a tough outing.
The odds hint at a moderately open game, but home edge and tactical discipline favor Sigma.

Expect a controlled tempo with Sigma pressing to capitalize early, while Pardubice may look to absorb pressure and counter.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.19 ✗ Lost

AI 49% Implied 46% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SIG 3-4-3 · PAR 3-5-2

SIG · 3-4-3 3-5-2 · PAR

24 Tkáč

📊 Statistics

SIG 3 – 1 PAR

63%

Possession (%)

37%

1.23

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.34

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sigma Olomouc beat Pardubice 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 6, 4 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.23 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.63 units (Brier 0.228).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS No	2.19	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.91	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.11	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.75	—	55%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Home Win	1.91	—	49%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.75	—	33%	Cashed	+1.75	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	51%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.29	—	74%	Cashed	+0.29	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.40	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.90	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−1.63u	−15% ROI