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Home Mlada Boleslav — Slovácko

Match Mlada Boleslav vs Slovácko August 22, 2026 — Result and Stats

—   /   Czech Liga Value pick inside
Mlada Boleslav
Mlada Boleslav
Home · last 5 D W D W W
Kick-off
Sat 22 Aug · 15:00
2:1
Full-time
Slovácko
Slovácko
L L L D D Away · last 5
Lokotrans Arena · Mlada Boleslav Referee J. Wulkan
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 50% · book 2.32
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.19
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 50% · book 1.91
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.16 – 2.18
Δ −1.02
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.19 — +7.8% better than the market.

Mlada Boleslav arrives with clear home momentum, showing resilience and a solid points-per-game edge over Slovácko. Their recent form suggests a compact defensive block combined with effective counterattacks. Meanwhile, Slovácko struggles on the road, lacking consistency and sharpness in attack.

  • Home side’s better recent results and higher scoring chances
  • Slovácko’s away woes and defensive vulnerabilities
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring disciplined play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.19 ✗ Lost
AI 49% Implied 46% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

MLA 21 SLO
46%
Possession (%)
54%
1.16
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.18
12
Total Shots
18
4
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
7
10
Shots Inside Box
11
5
Corner Kicks
6
0
Offsides
3
17
Fouls
23
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
87%
1
Yellow Cards
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Mlada Boleslav beat Slovácko 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.18 to 1.16. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 12, 5 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.06 units (Brier 0.168).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.32 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.19 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.91 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.91 50% Cashed +0.91 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.67 51% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.65 50% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.62 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.46 70% Cashed +0.46 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.25 75% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Away Win 3.94 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.70 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −3.06u −28% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
MLA – SLO @ 2.19
+7.8%
Edge
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