P
Prognosist
P
Home › England › Premier League › Brighton — Sunderland

Predictions by Market: Brighton vs Sunderland

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Brighton
Brighton
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 15:00
0:0
Full-time
Sunderland
Sunderland
L D D W W Away · last 5
American Express Stadium · Falmer Referee Darren England, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BRI
64%
Best 1.68
Draw
23%
Best 3.90
Away Win · SUN
13%
Best 5.10
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.63
book 4.00 · +10.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +10.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (72%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 22.5%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 13.3%
Odds 5.49
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 52.6%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 47.4%
Odds 1.88
Show model details
Implied probability 53.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.6%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.4%
Odds 12.70
Show model details
Implied probability 7.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.6%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.5%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Value pick
Probability 53.5%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.5%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 64.2%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 13.3%
Odds 4.13
Show model details
Implied probability 24.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 35.8%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.7%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
BRI – SUN @ 4.00
+10.2%
Edge
Forecast →