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Home › Italy › Serie A › Genoa — Parma

Predictions by Market: Genoa vs Parma

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Genoa
Genoa
Home · last 5 L D D L L
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 13:00
0:0
Full-time
Parma
Parma
W L L L W Away · last 5
Luigi Ferraris · Genoa Referee Simone Sozza, Italy

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GEN
38%
Best 2.28
Draw
29%
Best 2.93
Away Win · PAR
33%
Best 3.78
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 1.77
Fair odds
1.61
book 1.77 · +9.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
—
p 62% · EV +9.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Double Chance 1X is more likely (67%), but Double Chance X2 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 33.4%
Odds 4.04
Show model details
Implied probability 24.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 38.1%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 28.6%
Odds 3.21
Show model details
Implied probability 31.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 66.4%
Odds 1.61
Show model details
Implied probability 62.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.74
Show model details
Implied probability 36.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 84%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 87%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 13%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 33.6%
Odds 2.56
Show model details
Implied probability 39.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 16.1%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 58.7%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 41.3%
Odds 2.14
Show model details
Implied probability 46.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 38.1%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 33.4%
Odds 2.82
Show model details
Implied probability 35.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.77
Show model details
Implied probability 56.5%
Bet quality High
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
GEN – PAR @ 1.77
+9.6%
Edge
Forecast →