P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🎫 Bookmakers 🏆 Tournament
Home › Italy › Serie A › Como — Juventus

Como vs Juventus 2:0: Match Review & Stats

Italy   /   Serie A Value pick inside
Como
Como
Home · last 5 W D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 19 Oct · 10:30
2:0
Full-time
Juventus
Juventus
D D W L D Away · last 5
Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia · Como Referee Giovanni Ayroldi, Italy
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 48% · book 2.54 ✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 75% · book 1.43 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.80 ✓
Total goals
2
2 · 0
xG (open play)
1.47 – 0.88
Δ +0.59
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.43 — +7.5% better than the market.

Preview & Verdict

In the upcoming clash between Como and Juventus, the odds suggest a competitive encounter. Juventus is favored with a 47.97% estimated probability of winning, reflected in odds of 2.54. The Double Chance X2 market offers a safer option at 1.43 odds, with a high confidence level. Meanwhile, the Under 2.5 Goals market presents a balanced opportunity with odds of 1.8 and a slight edge in estimated probability at 55.7%. Expect a tactical battle with Juventus likely to leverage their overall strength and form trend.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.43 ✗ Lost
AI 75% Implied 70% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Lineups

COM 4-2-3-1 · JUV 4-3-3
COM · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · JUV 1 Butez 28 Smolčić 34 Carlos 2 Kempf ⚽ 18 Moreno 33 Cunha 23 Perrone 31 Vojvoda 10 Paz ⚽ 6 Caqueret 7 Morata 16 Gregorio 15 Kalulu 24 Rugani 6 Kelly 27 Cambiaso 8 Koopmeiners 5 Locatelli 19 Thuram 7 Conceição 30 David 10 Yıldız
Subs used · COM
46' Ramon ↑ · Carlos ↓
68' Valle ↑ · Moreno ↓
68' Douvikas ↑ · Caqueret ↓
86' Posch ↑ · Smolcic ↓
90+2' Van der Brempt ↑ · Morata ↓
Subs used · JUV
77' Vlahovic ↑ · Locatelli ↓
77' McKennie ↑ · Koopmeiners ↓
83' Kostic ↑ · Rugani ↓
83' Mario ↑ · Cambiaso ↓

Statistics

COM 2 – 0 JUV
45%
Possession (%)
55%
1.47
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.88
12
Total Shots
15
6
Shots on Target
3
3
Shots off Target
8
9
Shots Inside Box
9
4
Corner Kicks
1
1
Offsides
2
17
Fouls
15
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
3
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

15 · 2 – 0
M. O. Kempf
Assist · N. Paz · 1–0
⚽
4'
10'
▮
Lloyd Kelly
Yellow Card
Alberto Moreno
Yellow Card
▮
11'
Ivan Smolčić
Yellow Card
▮
22'
Diego Carlos
Yellow Card
▮
34'
Half-time · 1 – 0
J. Ramon ↓ · Diego Carlos ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
46'
A. Valle ↓ · A. Moreno ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
68'
A. Douvikas ↓ · M. Caqueret ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
68'
77'
⇄
D. Vlahovic ↓ · M. Locatelli ↑
Substitution 1
77'
⇄
W. McKennie ↓ · T. Koopmeiners ↑
Substitution 2
N. Paz
Assist · M. Perrone · 2–0
⚽
79'
83'
⇄
F. Kostic ↓ · D. Rugani ↑
Substitution 3
83'
⇄
Joao Mario ↓ · A. Cambiaso ↑
Substitution 4
S. Posch ↓ · I. Smolcic ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
86'
I. Van der Brempt ↓ · A. Morata ↑
Substitution 5
⇄
90+2'
Full-time · 2 – 0

Match recap

Como beat Juventus 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.47 to 0.88. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 4 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. O. Kempf (4'), N. Paz (79').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.66 units (Brier 0.215).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.54 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.43 — 75% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.80 — 56% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS No 1.97 — 50% Cashed +0.97 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.40 — 70% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Draw 3.39 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.06 — 25% Cashed +2.06 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.91 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.09 — 91% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 0.5 10.00 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 3.35 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.21 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 4.00 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.27 — 76% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.58 — 52% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
AH Home 0 2.17 — 25% Cashed +1.17 Cashed
AH Away 0 1.80 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −2.66u −16% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
COM – JUV @ 1.43
+7.5%
Edge
Forecast →