FC Lugano vs FC Luzern 4:0: Match Review & Stats
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 16:00
4:0
Full-time
Cornaredo · Lugano
Referee Anojen Kanagasingam
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 58% · book 1.90
✗
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 64% · book 1.62
✓
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 36% · book 2.30
✗
xG (open play)
2.64 – 0.95
Δ +1.69
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.90 — +10.5% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.90
✗ Lost
AI 58%
Implied 53%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
LUG 3-4-2-1 · LUZ 4-2-2-2
📊 Statistics
LUG 4
– 0 LUZ
2.64
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.95
Match recap
FC Lugano beat FC Luzern 4–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.64 to 0.95. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 15, 7 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.20 units (Brier 0.186).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
11 · 5 W · 6 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.90 |
— |
58% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Home Win |
1.62 |
— |
64% |
Cashed |
+0.62 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
2.30 |
— |
36% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
1.84 |
— |
42% |
Cashed |
+0.84 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.81 |
— |
39% |
Cashed |
+1.81 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
3.40 |
— |
36% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.20 |
— |
84% |
Cashed |
+0.20 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.40 |
— |
61% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
4.50 |
— |
21% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.33 |
— |
64% |
Cashed |
+0.33 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
4.50 |
— |
16% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Total · 11 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
5 W · 6 L |
−2.20u |
−20% ROI |
