FC Zurich vs FC Thun 4:2: Match Review & Stats
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 16:00
4:2
Full-time
Letzigrund · Zurich
Referee Hajrim Qovanaj
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 60% · book 1.88
✗
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 61% · book 1.62
✓
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 39% · book 2.66
✓
xG (open play)
0.94 – 1.46
Δ −0.52
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Model verdict
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.88 — +12.3% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.88
✗ Lost
AI 60%
Implied 53%
−1.00u
⛀ Lineups
ZUR 4-1-4-1 · THU 4-4-2
📊 Statistics
ZUR 4
– 2 THU
0.94
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.46
Match recap
FC Zurich beat FC Thun 4–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.
In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.46 to 0.94. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 4 from 0.94 expected goals.
Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.17 units (Brier 0.222).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
11 · 5 W · 6 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.88 |
— |
60% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.62 |
— |
61% |
Cashed |
+0.62 |
Cashed
|
| Home Win |
2.66 |
— |
39% |
Cashed |
+1.66 |
Cashed
|
| Away Win |
2.30 |
— |
39% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
1.86 |
— |
40% |
Cashed |
+0.86 |
Cashed
|
| Under 2.5 |
3.10 |
— |
40% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.50 |
— |
61% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS No |
3.25 |
— |
39% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Draw |
4.05 |
— |
23% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.33 |
— |
61% |
Cashed |
+0.33 |
Cashed
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.36 |
— |
60% |
Cashed |
+0.36 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 11 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
5 W · 6 L |
−2.17u |
−20% ROI |
