P
Prognosist
P
Home › Switzerland › Super League › Lausanne — FC Lugano

Lausanne vs FC Lugano 0:4: Match Review & Stats

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
Lausanne
Lausanne
Home · last 5 L D L L L
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 14:30
0:4
Full-time
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
W D W W W Away · last 5
Stade de la Tuiliere · Lausanne Referee Urs Schnyder
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 60% · book 1.83 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.25 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.28 ✓
Total goals
4
0 · 4
Possession
29% – 71%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.25 — +12.5% better than the market.

FC Lugano arrives with clear momentum, boasting a strong recent run and a significant quality edge over Lausanne. Their offensive threat is well-matched against Lausanne’s leaky defense, suggesting Lugano’s pressing and attacking efficiency could dominate. Lausanne’s home form is shaky, and their defensive vulnerabilities may be exploited, especially given Lugano’s sharp finishing.

  • Lugano’s superior form and attacking edge
  • Lausanne’s defensive struggles at home
  • Moderate pace expected with balanced goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.25 ✗ Lost
AI 50% Implied 44% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

LAU 0 – 4 LUG
29%
Possession (%)
71%
7
Total Shots
21
4
Shots on Target
5
2
Shots off Target
12
4
Shots Inside Box
12
1
Corner Kicks
6
3
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
10
3
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

FC Lugano won 4–0 away at Lausanne. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 71% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 7, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.52 units (Brier 0.224).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 1.83 — 60% Cashed +0.83 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.25 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.28 — 49% Cashed +1.28 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 2.05 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.62 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.62 — 50% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.50 — 29% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 — 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.25 — 83% Cashed +0.25 Cashed
Draw 3.90 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 4.10 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −1.52u −14% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
LAU – LUG @ 2.25
+12.5%
Edge
Forecast →