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Home › Switzerland › Super League › FC Vaduz — FC Thun

FC Vaduz vs FC Thun 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 12:00
1:2
Full-time
FC Thun
FC Thun
L L L W L Away · last 5
Rheinpark Stadion · Vaduz Referee Zrinko Prskalo
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 49% · book 2.33 ✗
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 57% · book 1.87 ✓
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 43% · book 1.87 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
Possession
66% – 34%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 3.25 — +14.7% better than the market.

FC Vaduz holds a clear quality edge over FC Thun, supported by stronger offensive numbers and better recent form. The home side’s attacking prowess faces a slightly vulnerable away defense, suggesting chances for goals. However, both teams have shown defensive resilience, hinting at a moderately paced game rather than a goal-fest.

  • Home momentum with sharper attack
  • Thun’s compact defensive block
  • Moderate tempo expected from odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 3.25 ✗ Lost
AI 35% Implied 31% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

VAD 1 – 2 THU
66%
Possession (%)
34%
18
Total Shots
15
3
Shots on Target
6
11
Shots off Target
4
14
Shots Inside Box
10
3
Corner Kicks
7
0
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
21
1
Yellow Cards
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

FC Thun won 2–1 away at FC Vaduz. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 66% of the ball. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.35 units (Brier 0.217).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.33 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.87 — 57% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Over 3.5 1.87 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.55 — 29% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.50 — 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.40 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 3.25 — 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.57 — 51% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Draw 4.10 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.33 — 65% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.33 — 65% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.35u −21% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
VAD – THU @ 3.25
+14.7%
Edge
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