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Home › Italy › Serie A › Napoli — Genoa

Predictions Napoli vs Genoa October 5, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Italy   /   Serie A
Napoli
Napoli
Home · last 5 W D L W W
Kick-off
Sun 05 Oct · 16:00
2:1
Full-time
Genoa
Genoa
L D D L L Away · last 5
Referee Federico La Penna, Italy
Home Win · NAP
66%
Best 1.47
Draw
19%
Best 4.00
Away Win · GEN
15%
Best 8.30
Value pick
Over 1.5
@ 1.44
Fair odds
1.28
book 1.44 · +12.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 78% · EV +12.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win
Probability 15%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 66%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 19%
Odds 4.18
Show model details
Implied probability 23.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 3 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 56%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Top pick
Probability 78%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
Team Totals 1 market
✓ Away Team Total Under 0.5 Top pick
Probability 64%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.