FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun 3:4 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.54 — +4.9% better than the market.

FC ST. Gallen shows stronger recent form and higher scoring potential, suggesting a home edge at Kybunpark. Their momentum and better points per game hint at control, while FC Thun’s struggles away and lower scoring rate may limit their threat. Expect a moderately paced match with chances for both sides, but St. Gallen’s home comfort and attacking rhythm could be decisive.

Home momentum and scoring edge
Thun’s away difficulties
Moderate tempo with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Away Win

Away Win @ 4.54 ✓ Cashed

AI 23% Implied 22% +3.54u

+354%

ROI on stake

Lineups

GAL 3-1-4-2 · THU 4-4-2

GAL · 3-1-4-2 4-4-2 · THU

14 Balde

Statistics

GAL 3 – 4 THU

68%

Possession (%)

32%

2.91

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.26

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

56%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Thun won 4–3 away at FC ST. Gallen. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 68% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 77% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.91 to 1.26. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 7, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 4 from 1.26 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.28 units (Brier 0.235).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2	2.25	—	45%	Cashed	+1.25	Cashed
Over 3.5	1.80	—	55%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Home Win	1.65	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.99	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	3.00	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	4.54	—	23%	Cashed	+3.54	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.33	—	74%	Cashed	+0.33	Cashed
Draw	4.50	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.36	—	69%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Under 2.5	3.40	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	+0.28u	+3% ROI

FC ST. Gallen vs FC Thun 3:4: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled