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FC Sion vs FC Lugano 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Sion
FC Sion
Home · last 5 W W W D L
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 12:00
1:2
Full-time
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
W D W W W Away · last 5
Tourbillon · Sion Referee S. Wolfensberger
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 53% · book 2.38 ✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 45% · book 2.19 ✗
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 55% · book 1.67 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.82 – 0.67
Δ +1.15
Possession
58% – 42%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.57 — +13.1% better than the market.

FC Sion hosts FC Lugano in a Super League clash where recent form favors the visitors, who boast a strong winning streak compared to Sion's mixed results. The home side shows signs of resilience but may struggle against Lugano's momentum and attacking threat. Expect a lively encounter with both teams pushing forward, supported by odds suggesting a high-scoring game.

  • FC Lugano's current form gives them a pressing edge.
  • Sion's home ground could inspire a compact defensive block.
  • Match pace hints at an open game with goal opportunities for both sides.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.57 ✓ Cashed
AI 72% Implied 64% +0.57u
+57%
ROI on stake

Statistics

SIO 1 – 2 LUG
58%
Possession (%)
42%
1.82
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.67
18
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
1
13
Shots Inside Box
7
8
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
22
85%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
0
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

FC Lugano won 2–1 away at FC Sion. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.82 to 0.67. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 7, 6 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.47 units (Brier 0.211).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.38 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.19 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.67 — 55% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
BTTS No 2.58 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.40 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.57 — 72% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.50 — 74% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.40 — 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.20 — 29% Cashed +2.20 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.59 — 47% Cashed +0.59 Cashed
Draw 3.70 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −1.47u −13% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
SIO – LUG @ 1.57
+13.1%
Edge
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