P
Prognosist
P
Home › Switzerland › Super League › BSC Young Boys — FC Basel 1893

BSC Young Boys vs FC Basel 1893 3:3: Match Review & Stats

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
BSC Young Boys
BSC Young Boys
Home · last 5 D W D D W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 18:30
3:3
Full-time
FC Basel 1893
FC Basel 1893
D L L W L Away · last 5
Stade de Suisse Wankdorf Bern · Bern Referee S. Scharer
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 60% · book 1.84 ✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 44% · book 2.50 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 56% · book 1.63 ✗
Total goals
6
3 · 3
xG (open play)
1.80 – 1.28
Δ +0.52
Possession
53% – 47%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 1.84 — +10.8% better than the market.

BSC Young Boys arrive with strong home momentum, showing solid form and a slight edge in recent points per game. Their attacking potential combined with a compact defensive setup could challenge FC Basel 1893, who have been less consistent away. The history of high-scoring encounters and odds favoring over 2.5 goals suggest an open game with chances at both ends.

  • Home side's pressing edge and set-piece threat
  • Basel's resilience but vulnerability on the road
  • Likely fast-paced match with goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 1.84 ✓ Cashed
AI 60% Implied 54% +0.84u
+84%
ROI on stake

Statistics

YOU 3 – 3 BAS
53%
Possession (%)
47%
1.80
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.28
21
Total Shots
12
9
Shots on Target
4
10
Shots off Target
5
12
Shots Inside Box
8
10
Corner Kicks
3
2
Offsides
1
14
Fouls
7
89%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
3
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

BSC Young Boys and FC Basel 1893 drew 3–3. At half-time it was 3–2.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.80 to 1.28. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 12, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.28 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.73 units (Brier 0.172).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 1.84 — 60% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.50 — 44% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Home Win 1.63 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.93 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.33 — 78% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.20 — 78% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
BTTS No 3.00 — 27% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 4.58 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.36 — 73% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Draw 4.50 — 22% Cashed +3.50 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.40 — 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 5 L +1.73u +16% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
YOU – BAS @ 1.84
+10.8%
Edge
Forecast →