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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Fiorentina — AS Roma

Match Fiorentina vs AS Roma October 5, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sun 05 Oct · 13:00
1:2
Full-time
AS Roma
AS Roma
W W W W W Away · last 5
Referee Andrea Colombo, Italy
Hit
AH Away 0
AH Away 0
AI 62% · book 1.80
Miss
Home Team Total Under 0.5
Home Team Total Under 0.5
AI 38% · book 2.99
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 74% · book 1.44
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.84 – 1.35
Δ −0.51
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
3 / 7
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Fiorentina vs Roma — betting preview

Roma arrive with a sturdier overall profile and cleaner game management, while Fiorentina lean on home energy and set pieces. The visitors trend better in recent results and should control more of the territory and chance quality. If the match stays level for long spells, the scoring pace likely dips; an away breakthrough pushes game state toward Roma-favored outcomes.

Our numbers shade toward Roma with draw cover appealing. Low-total angles remain live given the visitors’ compact shape and transition control.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

FIO 3-4-2-1 · ROM 3-4-2-1
Subs used · FIO
46' Piccoli ↑ · Gudmundsson
67' Ndour ↑ · Fazzini
75' Comuzzo ↑ · Mari
75' Dzeko ↑ · Mandragora
81' Fortini ↑ · Dodo
Subs used · ROM
59' Pellegrini ↑ · Baldanzi
59' Dybala ↑ · Dovbyk
68' Rensch ↑ · Tsimikas
81' Ziolkowski ↑ · Franca
81' El Aynaoui ↑ · Soule

📊 Statistics

FIO 12 ROM
45%
Possession (%)
55%
0.84
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.35
11
Total Shots
8
3
Shots on Target
3
6
Shots off Target
3
4
Shots Inside Box
5
3
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
0
19
Fouls
21
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
2
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

18 · 1 – 2
3'
Bryan Cristante
Yellow Card
M. Kean
Assist · H. Nicolussi Caviglia · 1–0
14'
22'
M. Soule
Assist · A. Dovbyk · 1–1
30'
B. Cristante
Assist · M. Soule · 1–2
Albert Guðmundsson
Yellow Card
43'
Half-time · 1 – 2
R. Piccoli ↓ · A. Gudmundsson ↑
Substitution 1
46'
59'
L. Pellegrini ↓ · T. Baldanzi ↑
Substitution 1
59'
P. Dybala ↓ · A. Dovbyk ↑
Substitution 2
65'
Konstantinos Tsimikas
Yellow Card
C. Ndour ↓ · J. Fazzini ↑
Substitution 2
67'
68'
Wesley
Yellow Card
68'
D. Rensch ↓ · K. Tsimikas ↑
Substitution 3
Pablo Marí
Yellow Card
70'
P. Comuzzo ↓ · P. Mari ↑
Substitution 3
75'
E. Dzeko ↓ · R. Mandragora ↑
Substitution 4
75'
N. Fortini ↓ · Dodo ↑
Substitution 5
81'
81'
J. Ziolkowski ↓ · Wesley Franca ↑
Substitution 4
81'
N. El Aynaoui ↓ · M. Soule ↑
Substitution 5
Full-time · 1 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

7 · 3 W · 4 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
AH Away 0 1.80 62% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Home Team Total Under 0.5 2.99 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.44 74% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Away Win 2.52 44% Cashed +1.52 Cashed
BTTS No 1.98 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.46 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.08 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 7 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 4 L −1.24u −18% ROI