P
Prognosist
P
Home › Switzerland › Super League › FC Lugano — FC Zurich

Predictions by Market: FC Lugano vs FC Zurich

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Lugano
FC Lugano
Home · last 5 W D W W W
Kick-off
Sun 09 Aug · 12:00
5:0
Full-time
FC Zurich
FC Zurich
L D W D W Away · last 5
Referee L. Fahndrich

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · LUG
58%
Best 1.53
Draw
22%
Best 4.33
Away Win · ZUR
20%
Best 6.00
Value pick
Away Win
@ 5.62
Fair odds
4.98
book 5.62 · +12.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
—
Pick confidence
Medium
p 20% · EV +12.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (58%), but Away Win is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.53
Show model details
Implied probability 65.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 20.1%
Odds 5.62
Show model details
Implied probability 17.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 21.6%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 4 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 52.8%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 31.9%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5 Best in group
Probability 68.1%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.3%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 38.7%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.63
Show model details
Implied probability 38%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.9%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Away Win
LUG – ZUR @ 5.62
+12.9%
Edge
Forecast →