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Home › Switzerland › Super League › FC Vaduz — FC ST. Gallen

FC Vaduz vs FC ST. Gallen 2:3: Match Review & Stats

Switzerland   /   Super League Value pick inside
FC Vaduz
FC Vaduz
Home · last 5 W L W L L
Kick-off
Sun 02 Aug · 12:00
2:3
Full-time
FC ST. Gallen
FC ST. Gallen
L W L L W Away · last 5
Referee Nico Gianforte, Switzerland
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 68% · book 1.62 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 45% · book 2.63 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 49% · book 2.40 ✗
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
1.97 – 2.12
Δ −0.15
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.62 — +10.4% better than the market.

FC Vaduz faces a tough challenge against FC ST. Gallen, who come in with recent winning momentum. The home side's recent form shows a setback, while the visitors have been more consistent, suggesting a quality edge for St. Gallen. Expect a cautious tempo given the odds favoring under 2.5 goals, hinting at a compact defensive setup from Vaduz and measured attacking intent from St. Gallen.

  • St. Gallen's form advantage and away resilience
  • Vaduz likely to rely on defensive solidity
  • Moderate pace with limited goal-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.62 ✗ Lost
AI 68% Implied 62% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

VAD 2 – 3 GAL
54%
Possession (%)
46%
1.97
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.12
16
Total Shots
24
5
Shots on Target
7
9
Shots off Target
4
12
Shots Inside Box
15
4
Corner Kicks
9
1
Offsides
3
5
Fouls
12
71%
Pass Accuracy (%)
69%
1
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

FC ST. Gallen won 3–2 away at FC Vaduz. At half-time it was 1–1.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 24 shots to 16, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 4.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.21 units (Brier 0.249).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 3.5 1.62 — 68% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.63 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.40 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.67 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.17 — 43% Cashed +1.17 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.25 — 32% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.40 — 67% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Home Win 2.98 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.44 — 55% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.53 — 51% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Draw 3.90 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.21u −20% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
VAD – GAL @ 1.62
+10.4%
Edge
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