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Home › Switzerland › Super League › FC Luzern — FC Thun

FC Luzern vs FC Thun 1:3: Match Review & Stats

FC Luzern
FC Luzern
Home · last 5 W D L W L
Kick-off
Sat 25 Jul · 18:30
1:3
Full-time
FC Thun
FC Thun
L L L W L Away · last 5
Swissporarena · Lucerne Referee Nico Gianforte, Switzerland
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 35% · book 2.74 ✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 59% · book 1.62 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 41% · book 2.30 ✗
Total goals
4
1 · 3
xG (open play)
2.50 – 1.63
Δ +0.87
Possession
54% – 46%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

With limited recent form and strength data, this Super League clash at Swissporarena leans towards an open game. The odds suggest a lively tempo with a strong chance of goals, hinting at both sides finding the net. Home advantage may offer Luzern a slight edge, but the lack of clear form signals keeps the outcome uncertain.

  • Potential for an attacking contest given the goal market odds
  • Home side likely to push forward with crowd support
  • Both teams could exploit defensive gaps in transition

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Statistics

LUZ 1 – 3 THU
54%
Possession (%)
46%
2.50
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.63
22
Total Shots
20
4
Shots on Target
7
11
Shots off Target
9
19
Shots Inside Box
14
12
Corner Kicks
6
13
Fouls
10
76%
Pass Accuracy (%)
78%
3
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

FC Thun won 3–1 away at FC Luzern. At half-time it was 1–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.50 to 1.63. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 6. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.08 units (Brier 0.189).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.74 — 35% Cashed +1.74 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.62 — 59% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Home Win 2.30 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 1.87 — 50% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.90 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.50 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 3.10 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.36 — 70% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Draw 4.00 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.33 — 71% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
BTTS No 3.25 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.08u −19% ROI