This matchup features two teams struggling to find consistent attacking rhythm and defensive solidity, reflected in their recent results and low scoring averages. Parma’s home advantage is modest but notable, while Torino’s slightly better recent form and points per game suggest a competitive contest. The game is likely to be cagey with limited clear-cut chances, favoring a tight scoreline. The market odds reflect a balanced outlook, but our model leans slightly towards a home win and under 2.5 goals. Both teams have shown difficulty in scoring, so betting on fewer goals and a cautious approach is sensible. The draw remains a realistic outcome given the defensive caution and form trends.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
PAR 3-4-1-2 · TOR 3-4-3📊 Statistics
PAR 2 – 1 TOR37%
Possession (%)
63%
1.32
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.71
13
Total Shots
15
2
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
3
6
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
12
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
3
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1
⏱ Match events
18 · 2 – 1Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Yellow Card
16'
30'
▮
Cyril Ngonge
Yellow Card
Mateo Pellegrino (P)
Penalty · 1–0
36'
Half-time · 1 – 0
50'
⚽
Cyril Ngonge
Assist · Saúl Coco · 1–1
Adrian Benedyczak ↓ · Gaetano Oristanio ↑
Substitution 1
58'
Mateo Pellegrino
Yellow Card
60'
68'
▮
Niels Nkounkou
Yellow Card
70'
⇄
Cristiano Biraghi ↓ · Niels Nkounkou ↑
Substitution 1
71'
⇄
Adrien Tameze ↓ · Kristjan Asllani ↑
Substitution 2
Mateo Pellegrino
Assist · Emanuele Valeri · 2–1
72'
77'
⇄
Che Adams ↓ · Ardian Ismajli ↑
Substitution 3
Oliver Sørensen ↓ · Patrick Cutrone ↑
Substitution 2
81'
Nahuel Estévez ↓ · Adrián Bernabé ↑
Substitution 3
81'
87'
⇄
Alieu Njie ↓ · Giovanni Simeone ↑
Substitution 4
87'
⇄
Zakaria Aboukhlal ↓ · Nikola Vlašić ↑
Substitution 5
Milan Đurić ↓ · Mateo Pellegrino ↑
Substitution 4
90'
Enrico Del Prato
Yellow Card
90+1'
90+2'
▮
Alieu Njie
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1
Match recap
Parma beat Torino 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 82% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.32 to 0.71. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.
On the scoresheet: Mateo Pellegrino (36'), Cyril Ngonge (50'), Mateo Pellegrino (72').
Model audit for this match: of 9 graded markets, 3 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.76 units (Brier 0.200).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
9 · 3 W · 6 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 1.73 | — | 65% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| BTTS No | 1.93 | — | 60% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.36 | — | 73% | Cashed | +0.36 | Cashed |
| AH Home 0 | 1.59 | — | 58% | Cashed | +0.59 | Cashed |
| Home Team Total Under 0.5 | 3.60 | — | 35% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Team Total Under 0.5 | 2.76 | — | 40% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Win | 2.29 | — | 44% | Cashed | +1.29 | Cashed |
| Draw | 3.45 | — | 29% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 3.60 | — | 28% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Total · 9 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 3 W · 6 L | −3.76u | −42% ROI |