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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Parma — Torino

Match Parma vs Torino September 29, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A
Parma
Parma
Home · last 5 W L L L W
Kick-off
Mon 29 Sep · 16:30
2:1
Full-time
Torino
Torino
D L W L D Away · last 5
Stadio Ennio Tardini · Parma Referee Giuseppe Collu, Italy
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 65% · book 1.73
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 60% · book 1.93
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 73% · book 1.36
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
1.32 – 0.71
Δ +0.61
Possession
37% – 63%
AI accuracy
3 / 9
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

This matchup features two teams struggling to find consistent attacking rhythm and defensive solidity, reflected in their recent results and low scoring averages. Parma’s home advantage is modest but notable, while Torino’s slightly better recent form and points per game suggest a competitive contest. The game is likely to be cagey with limited clear-cut chances, favoring a tight scoreline. The market odds reflect a balanced outlook, but our model leans slightly towards a home win and under 2.5 goals. Both teams have shown difficulty in scoring, so betting on fewer goals and a cautious approach is sensible. The draw remains a realistic outcome given the defensive caution and form trends.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

PAR 3-4-1-2 · TOR 3-4-3
Subs used · PAR
58' Benedyczak ↑ · Oristanio
81' Sørensen ↑ · Cutrone
81' Estévez ↑ · Bernabé
90' Đurić ↑ · Pellegrino
Subs used · TOR
70' Biraghi ↑ · Nkounkou
71' Tameze ↑ · Asllani
77' Adams ↑ · Ismajli
87' Njie ↑ · Simeone
87' Aboukhlal ↑ · Vlašić

📊 Statistics

PAR 21 TOR
37%
Possession (%)
63%
1.32
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.71
13
Total Shots
15
2
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
3
6
Shots Inside Box
8
4
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
12
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
3
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match events

18 · 2 – 1
Abdoulaye Ndiaye
Yellow Card
16'
30'
Cyril Ngonge
Yellow Card
Mateo Pellegrino (P)
Penalty · 1–0
36'
Half-time · 1 – 0
50'
Cyril Ngonge
Assist · Saúl Coco · 1–1
Adrian Benedyczak ↓ · Gaetano Oristanio ↑
Substitution 1
58'
Mateo Pellegrino
Yellow Card
60'
68'
Niels Nkounkou
Yellow Card
70'
Cristiano Biraghi ↓ · Niels Nkounkou ↑
Substitution 1
71'
Adrien Tameze ↓ · Kristjan Asllani ↑
Substitution 2
Mateo Pellegrino
Assist · Emanuele Valeri · 2–1
72'
77'
Che Adams ↓ · Ardian Ismajli ↑
Substitution 3
Oliver Sørensen ↓ · Patrick Cutrone ↑
Substitution 2
81'
Nahuel Estévez ↓ · Adrián Bernabé ↑
Substitution 3
81'
87'
Alieu Njie ↓ · Giovanni Simeone ↑
Substitution 4
87'
Zakaria Aboukhlal ↓ · Nikola Vlašić ↑
Substitution 5
Milan Đurić ↓ · Mateo Pellegrino ↑
Substitution 4
90'
Enrico Del Prato
Yellow Card
90+1'
90+2'
Alieu Njie
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 3 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.73 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.93 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.36 73% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.59 58% Cashed +0.59 Cashed
Home Team Total Under 0.5 3.60 35% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Team Total Under 0.5 2.76 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.29 44% Cashed +1.29 Cashed
Draw 3.45 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.60 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each 3 W · 6 L −3.76u −42% ROI