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Home › England › Premier League › Tottenham — Liverpool

Predictions by Market: Tottenham vs Liverpool

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Tottenham
Tottenham
Home · last 5 W W D L W
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 17:30
1:2
Full-time
Liverpool
Liverpool
W L D L D Away · last 5
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London Referee John Brooks, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · TOT
22%
Best 3.50
Draw
24%
Best 3.55
Away Win · LIV
55%
Best 2.08
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.90
Fair odds
4.56
book 4.90 · +7.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 22% · EV +7.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (78%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 54.8%
Odds 2.12
Show model details
Implied probability 47.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 23.6%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 21.6%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 45.2%
Odds 2.34
Show model details
Implied probability 42.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 32.9%
Odds 2.66
Show model details
Implied probability 37.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 22%
Odds 4.90
Show model details
Implied probability 20.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.51
Show model details
Implied probability 66.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.3%
Odds 16.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.7%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 78.1%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 42.9%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 57.1%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 21.6%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 54.8%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 45.2%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
TOT – LIV @ 4.90
+7.5%
Edge
Forecast →