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WSG Wattens vs Ried 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
WSG Wattens
WSG Wattens
Home · last 5 W W D L L
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 15:00
1:2
Full-time
Ried
Ried
W L D W W Away · last 5
Tivoli Stadion Tirol · Innsbruck Referee Julian Weinberger
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 46% · book 2.53 ✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 44% · book 2.20 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.00 ✗
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.28 – 1.49
Δ −0.21
Possession
64% – 36%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.50 — +7.3% better than the market.

WSG Wattens hosts Ried in a Bundesliga clash where the visitors hold a clear quality edge. Ried's stronger attack meets a home defense that has struggled recently, suggesting chances for the away side to press forward. However, Wattens' home momentum and recent form provide resilience, hinting at a competitive encounter.

  • Ried's offensive edge against Wattens' leaky defense
  • Home side's better recent points per game
  • Moderate pace expected with balanced goal potential

Expect a tactical battle with Ried pushing for control but Wattens likely to resist strongly, making a tight scoreline plausible.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.50 ✓ Cashed
AI 72% Implied 67% +0.50u
+50%
ROI on stake

Statistics

WAT 1 – 2 RIE
64%
Possession (%)
36%
1.28
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.49
22
Total Shots
13
8
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
7
11
Shots Inside Box
7
7
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
3
10
Fouls
10
1
Yellow Cards
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match recap

Ried won 2–1 away at WSG Wattens. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 64% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 13, 8 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.16 units (Brier 0.167).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.53 — 46% Cashed +1.53 Cashed
BTTS No 2.20 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.00 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.80 — 52% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.65 — 56% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Home Win 2.60 — 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.50 — 72% Cashed +0.50 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.00 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.50 — 54% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.36 — 69% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Draw 3.42 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.16u −20% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
WAT – RIE @ 1.50
+7.3%
Edge
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