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Home › Austria › Bundesliga › Grazer AK — Austria Vienna

Grazer AK vs Austria Vienna 2:2: Match Review & Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
Home · last 5 L D W D D
Kick-off
Sat 19 Sep · 17:30
2:2
Full-time
Austria Vienna
Austria Vienna
L L W D L Away · last 5
Stadion Graz-Liebenau · Graz Referee Arnes Talic
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 56% · book 2.00 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 59% · book 1.80 ✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 40% · book 2.52 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.00 — +11.1% better than the market.

Grazer AK arrives with better recent form and a clear home momentum edge over Austria Vienna, who have struggled to find consistency. The home side's higher expected goals and points per game suggest they can control the tempo and press effectively at Merkur-Arena.

  • Home side's sharper recent results and attacking threat
  • Austria Vienna's defensive vulnerabilities may be exposed
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring a compact home block

Expect a tactical battle with Grazer AK holding a slight advantage, likely resulting in a tight contest with limited goals given the defensive discipline on both sides.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.00 ✗ Lost
AI 56% Implied 50% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GRA 2 – 2 AUT
48%
Possession (%)
52%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
8
Shots off Target
5
6
Shots Inside Box
8
2
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
1
12
Fouls
9
5
Yellow Cards
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3

Match recap

Grazer AK and Austria Vienna drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–1.

For discipline, the referee produced 8 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +2.67 units (Brier 0.332).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.00 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.80 — 59% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.52 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.70 — 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.00 — 41% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.80 — 44% Cashed +0.80 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.44 — 66% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.53 — 60% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.28 — 79% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.40 — 26% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 — 21% Cashed +2.50 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 5 L +2.67u +24% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
GRA – AUT @ 2.00
+11.1%
Edge
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