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Home › Austria › Bundesliga › Ried — Wolfsberger AC

Ried vs Wolfsberger AC 4:1: Match Review & Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Ried
Ried
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 12:30
4:1
Full-time
Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC
L D L L L Away · last 5
Josko Arena · Reed Referee Alexander Harkam
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.35 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 2.18 ✗
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 54% · book 2.07 ✓
Total goals
5
4 · 1
Possession
47% – 53%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.18 — +15.0% better than the market.

Ried holds a clear edge in quality and recent form, showing better attacking potential against Wolfsberger AC's defense. Their home momentum and slightly stronger defensive setup suggest they can control the pace and limit chances conceded. Wolfsberger's struggles on the road and lower scoring threat hint at a cautious game with limited goals.

  • Home side's pressing and defensive solidity
  • Wolfsberger's away inefficiency and subdued attack
  • Moderate tempo likely favors compact play and fewer goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.18 ✗ Lost
AI 53% Implied 46% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

RIE 4 – 1 WOL
47%
Possession (%)
53%
20
Total Shots
26
11
Shots on Target
5
8
Shots off Target
15
17
Shots Inside Box
16
0
Corner Kicks
9
2
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match recap

Ried beat Wolfsberger AC 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 26 shots to 20, 5 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.69 units (Brier 0.244).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.35 — 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.18 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.07 — 54% Cashed +1.07 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.80 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.62 — 51% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.67 — 47% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.62 — 27% Cashed +1.62 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 — 73% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.33 — 79% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Draw 3.60 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.42 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −1.69u −15% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
RIE – WOL @ 2.18
+15.0%
Edge
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