AS Roma enters this match with a clear home advantage, showing solid defensive resilience and a decent attacking output, especially at their stadium. Verona, by contrast, has struggled away, with a less effective defense and a more cautious attacking approach. Recent form favors the home side, who have been more consistent in securing wins, while Verona's string of draws and a loss suggest difficulty in breaking down opponents. The expected game tempo is moderate, with Roma likely to control possession and create better chances. The model leans strongly towards a home win, with a relatively low probability of a draw or away victory. Goals are expected to be modest, with a slight edge towards both teams scoring but with Roma’s defense likely to limit Verona’s opportunities. Totals markets around 2.5 goals appear balanced but slightly favor the under, reflecting a controlled game state. Asian handicap options on Roma also show value given their home strength.
Post-match · 90 sec read
⛀ Lineups
ROM 3-4-2-1 · VER 3-5-2
📊 Statistics
ROM 2 – 0 VER57%
Possession (%)
43%
0.98
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
1.35
10
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
3
2
Shots off Target
6
6
Shots Inside Box
6
8
Corner Kicks
1
0
Offsides
2
11
Fouls
19
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
68%
0
Yellow Cards
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
3
⏱ Match events
16 · 2 – 0Artem Dovbyk
Assist · Zeki Çelik · 1–0
7'
12'
▮
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
Yellow Card
45'
▮
Unai Núñez
Yellow Card
Half-time · 1 – 0
46'
⇄
Roberto Gagliardini ↓ · Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro ↑
Substitution 1
53'
▮
Roberto Gagliardini
Yellow Card
Konstantinos Tsimikas ↓ · Angeliño ↑
Substitution 1
59'
Mario Hermoso ↓ · Wesley ↑
Substitution 2
59'
Evan Ferguson ↓ · Artem Dovbyk ↑
Substitution 3
60'
Jan Ziółkowski ↓ · Evan Ndicka ↑
Substitution 4
71'
74'
⇄
Amin Sarr ↓ · Giovane ↑
Substitution 2
Matías Soulé
2–0
79'
Stephan El Shaarawy ↓ · Matías Soulé ↑
Substitution 5
82'
84'
⇄
Fallou Cham ↓ · Domagoj Bradarić ↑
Substitution 3
84'
⇄
Armel Bella-Kotchap ↓ · Unai Núñez ↑
Substitution 4
90'
⇄
Grigoris Kastanos ↓ · Antoine Bernede ↑
Substitution 5
90+1'
▮
Rafik Belghali
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 0
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
10 · 6 W · 4 L| Market | Odds | Closed | AI | Result | P/L · 1u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Win | 1.50 | — | 65% | Cashed | +0.50 | Cashed |
| Draw | 4.50 | — | 20% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Away Win | 9.00 | — | 5% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| AH Home 0 | 1.16 | — | 68% | Cashed | +0.16 | Cashed |
| BTTS Yes | 2.46 | — | 48% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Over 2.5 | 2.17 | — | 42% | Lost | −1.00 | Miss |
| Home Team Total Over 0.5 | 1.15 | — | 75% | Cashed | +0.15 | Cashed |
| Double Chance 1X | 1.11 | — | 85% | Cashed | +0.11 | Cashed |
| Under 2.5 | 1.81 | — | 58% | Cashed | +0.81 | Cashed |
| AH Home -0.5 | 1.46 | — | 55% | Cashed | +0.46 | Cashed |
| Total · 10 markets @ 1u each | — | — | — | 6 W · 4 L | −1.81u | −18% ROI |