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TSV Hartberg vs Ried 3:2: Match Review & Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg
Home · last 5 W W D D W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 15:00
3:2
Full-time
Ried
Ried
W L D W W Away · last 5
Referee A. Talic
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 2.05 ✗
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 59% · book 1.62 ✓
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.85 ✗
Total goals
5
3 · 2
xG (open play)
2.78 – 1.67
Δ +1.11
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.05 — +8.9% better than the market.

TSV Hartberg faces Ried in a clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who have edged more points recently. Hartberg's home momentum is limited, but their compact defensive setup could frustrate Ried's more potent attack. The match hints at a cautious tempo with under 2.5 goals likely, as both sides have shown defensive resilience and inconsistent finishing.

  • Ried's attacking threat meets Hartberg's disciplined defense
  • Home side's struggle to maintain form
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No
BTTS No @ 2.05 ✗ Lost
AI 53% Implied 49% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

HAR 3 – 2 RIE
41%
Possession (%)
59%
2.78
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.67
14
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Target
5
6
Shots off Target
8
8
Shots Inside Box
11
3
Corner Kicks
4
3
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
7
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
84%
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

TSV Hartberg beat Ried 3–2 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 84% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.78 to 1.67. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.60 units (Brier 0.333).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.05 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.62 — 59% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Under 2.5 1.85 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.35 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.95 — 44% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 — 47% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.40 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.88 — 33% Cashed +1.88 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.30 — 77% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.44 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.40 — 23% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L +0.60u +5% ROI
Value pick of the night · BTTS No
HAR – RIE @ 2.05
+8.9%
Edge
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