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Home Austria Bundesliga TSV Hartberg — Ried

Preview TSV Hartberg vs Ried August 30, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
TSV Hartberg
TSV Hartberg
Home · last 5 L L L W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 15:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Ried
Ried
D L L W Away · last 5
Referee A. Talic
Home Win · HAR
33%
Best 2.88
Draw
26%
Best 3.44
Away Win · RIE
41%
Best 2.35

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Under 2.5 goals — 56% probability.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

TSV Hartberg faces Ried in a clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who have edged more points recently. Hartberg's home momentum is limited, but their compact defensive setup could frustrate Ried's more potent attack. The match hints at a cautious tempo with under 2.5 goals likely, as both sides have shown defensive resilience and inconsistent finishing.

  • Ried's attacking threat meets Hartberg's disciplined defense
  • Home side's struggle to maintain form
  • Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical caution

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 41% Ried win
Over/Under 2.5 56% Under 2.5
BTTS 53% No
Double Chance 67% X2
  • 1X2 Ried win 41%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 56%
  • BTTS No 53%
  • Double Chance X2 67%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
TSV Hartberg
W/D/L 2-0-3
Goals (for / against) 5 / 7
Avg goals / match 2.4
Scored in 2/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-1
xG (for / against) 0.85 / 2.06
Ried
W/D/L 1-1-3
Goals (for / against) 4 / 10
Avg goals / match 2.8
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 1-0-1
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-2
xG (for / against) 1.33 / 1.51

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
0.50
Goals Scored
1
1.50
Goals Conceded
1.75
0.77
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
2.75
Shots on Target
5.25
3.75
Corners
4.75
42.25
Possession (%)
50.25
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
8
OFF · home
33
42
DEF · home
50
33
OFF · away
58
17
DEF · away
67
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

TSV Hartberg wins when scoring first
Ried wins when scoring first
TSV Hartberg BTTS rate · last 10
50%
Ried BTTS rate · last 10
50%
TSV Hartberg Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
Ried Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
TSV Hartberg comeback rate · last 10
0%
Ried comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

TSV Hartberg · last 3 at home

0–15 0%
16–30 33%
31–45 0%
46–60 33%
61–75 0%
76–90 33%

Ried · last 4 away

0–15 0%
16–30 14%
31–45 43%
46–60 29%
61–75 14%
76–90 0%
Balanced — goals spread evenly across the match.

Top scorers

A. Gattermayer
HAR · Attacker
1 G · 0.32 g/90
Nikolaus Feldhofer
HAR · Midfielder
0 G
N. Sissoko
RIE · Attacker
2 G · 1.06 g/90
J. Nasrawe
RIE · Midfielder
1 G · 0.70 g/90