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Home › Austria › Bundesliga › Grazer AK — Wolfsberger AC

Grazer AK vs Wolfsberger AC 0:0: Match Review & Stats

Austria   /   Bundesliga Value pick inside
Grazer AK
Grazer AK
Home · last 5 L D W D D
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 15:00
0:0
Full-time
Wolfsberger AC
Wolfsberger AC
L D L L L Away · last 5
Stadion Graz-Liebenau · Graz Referee M. Greinecker
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 61% · book 1.67 ✓
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 53% · book 1.85 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.07 ✓
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
1.95 – 0.08
Δ +1.87
Possession
70% – 30%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.00 — +7.8% better than the market.

Grazer AK hosts Wolfsberger AC in what looks like a tight Bundesliga clash. Home momentum is evident with Grazer AK's recent wins contrasting Wolfsberger's mixed form. The home side's slightly better recent points per game suggests they could press their advantage early. Expect a tactical battle where Grazer AK's resilience at Merkur-Arena might edge out a narrow result.

  • Home momentum and recent form edge
  • Compact defensive setups likely
  • Moderate pace expected given balanced goal odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Home Win
Home Win @ 3.00 ✗ Lost
AI 36% Implied 33% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

GRA 0 – 0 WOL
70%
Possession (%)
30%
1.95
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.08
26
Total Shots
5
7
Shots on Target
1
13
Shots off Target
2
15
Shots Inside Box
1
11
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
0
14
Fouls
12
81%
Pass Accuracy (%)
50%
3
Yellow Cards
3
1
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match recap

Grazer AK and Wolfsberger AC drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 81% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.95 to 0.08. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 26 shots to 5, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +1.29 units (Brier 0.230).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.67 — 61% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.85 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.07 — 47% Cashed +1.07 Cashed
BTTS No 2.23 — 43% Cashed +1.23 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.23 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.00 — 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.00 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.36 — 64% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.36 — 69% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Draw 3.60 — 25% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 5 L +1.29u +12% ROI
Value pick of the night · Home Win
GRA – WOL @ 3.00
+7.8%
Edge
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