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⚽ Football 📈 Forecasts
Football Italy Serie A Sassuolo — Udinese

Match Sassuolo vs Udinese September 28, 2025

Italy   /   Serie A
Sassuolo
Sassuolo
Home · last 5 D W L L L
Kick-off
Sun 28 Sep · 10:30
3:1
Full-time
Udinese
Udinese
D W W L L Away · last 5
Referee Daniele Perenzoni, Italy
Hit
Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X
AI 71% · book 1.39
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 58% · book 1.87
Hit
Over 1.5
Over 1.5
AI 62% · book 1.38
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
1.36 – 1.26
Δ +0.10
Possession
44% – 56%
AI accuracy
7 / 9
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

This matchup features two teams with similar overall strength but contrasting recent form and defensive profiles. Sassuolo’s home performances have been inconsistent with a tendency to concede, while Udinese arrives with better defensive solidity and a more stable away form. The game is likely to be balanced with moderate attacking threat from both sides, suggesting a competitive contest with goals at both ends. The probabilities favor a home win slightly, but the draw and away win remain well within reach. Totals markets lean towards a moderate scoring game, with over 1.5 goals being a reasonable expectation. The best value lies in cautious double chance and Asian handicap options that reflect the tight nature of this encounter.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Lineups

SAS 4-3-3 · UDI 3-5-2
Subs used · SAS
58' Thorstvedt ↑ · Vranckx
58' Fadera ↑ · Laurienté
79' Iannoni ↑ · Koné
80' Coulibaly ↑ · Walukiewicz
86' Cheddira ↑ · Pinamonti
Subs used · UDI
46' Miller ↑ · Piotrowski
46' Ehizibue ↑ · Palma
67' Ekkelenkamp ↑ · Zanoli
76' Gueye ↑ · Zaniolo
80' Lovrić ↑ · Atta

📊 Statistics

SAS 31 UDI
44%
Possession (%)
56%
1.36
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.26
11
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Target
5
3
Shots off Target
6
8
Shots Inside Box
6
1
Corner Kicks
5
5
Offsides
1
5
Fouls
22
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
0
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

17 · 3 – 1
Armand Laurienté
Assist · Domenico Berardi · 1–0
8'
Ismael Koné
Assist · Armand Laurienté · 2–0
12'
18'
Jakub Piotrowski
Yellow Card
Half-time · 2 – 0
46'
Lennon Miller ↓ · Jakub Piotrowski ↑
Substitution 1
46'
Kingsley Ehizibue ↓ · Matteo Palma ↑
Substitution 2
45+3'
Nicolò Zaniolo
Yellow Card
55'
Keinan Davis
2–1
Kristian Thorstvedt ↓ · Aster Vranckx ↑
Substitution 1
58'
Alieu Fadera ↓ · Armand Laurienté ↑
Substitution 2
58'
61'
Kingsley Ehizibue
Yellow Card
67'
Jürgen Ekkelenkamp ↓ · Alessandro Zanoli ↑
Substitution 3
76'
Idrissa Gueye ↓ · Nicolò Zaniolo ↑
Substitution 4
Edoardo Iannoni ↓ · Ismael Koné ↑
Substitution 3
79'
Woyo Coulibaly ↓ · Sebastian Walukiewicz ↑
Substitution 4
80'
80'
Sandi Lovrić ↓ · Arthur Atta ↑
Substitution 5
Edoardo Iannoni
Assist · Alieu Fadera · 3–1
81'
Walid Cheddira ↓ · Andrea Pinamonti ↑
Substitution 5
86'
Full-time · 3 – 1

Bet recap · markets settled

9 · 7 W · 2 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X 1.39 71% Cashed +0.39 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.87 58% Cashed +0.87 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.38 62% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.71 55% Cashed +0.71 Cashed
AH Home -0.5 2.31 44% Cashed +1.31 Cashed
Home Team Total Over 0.5 1.30 75% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Home Win 2.37 44% Cashed +1.37 Cashed
Draw 3.48 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 3.30 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 9 markets @ 1u each 7 W · 2 L +3.33u +37% ROI