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Home › Denmark › Superliga › Viborg — FC Nordsjaelland

Viborg vs FC Nordsjaelland 4:1: Match Review & Stats

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
Viborg
Viborg
Home · last 5 W W L D W
Kick-off
Sun 20 Sep · 16:00
4:1
Full-time
FC Nordsjaelland
FC Nordsjaelland
L D W L D Away · last 5
Viborg Stadion · Vyborg Referee Graagaard, Lasse Kirk
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 50% · book 2.30 ✗
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 40% · book 2.60 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 38% · book 2.73 ✗
Total goals
5
4 · 1
Possession
48% – 52%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.60 — +4.0% better than the market.

FC Nordsjaelland enter with a clear quality edge and stronger recent form, suggesting they can challenge Viborg’s home momentum at Energi Viborg Arena. Viborg’s defensive solidity faces a tough test against Nordsjaelland’s sharper attack, while the home side’s pressing edge could limit chances. The match hints at a balanced pace with moderate goal potential, given the cautious recent trends and historical narrow scorelines.

  • Strong away offensive threat vs home defensive resilience
  • Close recent form but Nordsjaelland slightly sharper
  • Moderate tempo favors tactical discipline over wild open play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.60 ✗ Lost
AI 40% Implied 38% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

VIB 4 – 1 NOR
48%
Possession (%)
52%
20
Total Shots
14
6
Shots on Target
2
11
Shots off Target
6
17
Shots Inside Box
10
4
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
2
9
Fouls
10
0
Yellow Cards
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match recap

Viborg beat FC Nordsjaelland 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–1.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 14, 6 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.53 units (Brier 0.273).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Away Win 2.30 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.60 — 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.73 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.67 — 61% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.13 — 39% Cashed +1.13 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.62 — 50% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Home Win 2.80 — 26% Cashed +1.80 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.40 — 74% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.44 — 62% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.48 — 60% Cashed +0.48 Cashed
Draw 3.90 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −1.53u −14% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
VIB – NOR @ 2.60
+4.0%
Edge
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