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Home › Denmark › Superliga › FC Midtjylland — Brondby

FC Midtjylland vs Brondby 4:1: Match Review & Stats

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
FC Midtjylland
FC Midtjylland
Home · last 5 D W D W D
Kick-off
Mon 14 Sep · 17:00
4:1
Full-time
Brondby
Brondby
W L L L L Away · last 5
MCH Arena · Herning
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.30 ✗
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 48% · book 2.10 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 42% · book 2.30 ✗
Total goals
5
4 · 1
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Away Win at 4.20 — +3.5% better than the market.

FC Midtjylland shows solid home momentum with a strong points-per-game edge and a balanced recent form, while Brondby has bounced back with wins but still trails in consistency. The matchup hints at a tactical battle where Midtjylland's home resilience and pressing could challenge Brondby's recovering attack. Expect a moderately paced game with chances on both ends, though Midtjylland's compact block and set-piece threat may tilt the scales.

  • Home form steadiness vs away resurgence
  • Midtjylland’s defensive organization
  • Potential for goals but controlled tempo

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Away Win
Away Win @ 4.20 ✗ Lost
AI 25% Implied 24% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

MID 4 – 1 BRO
46%
Possession (%)
54%
15
Total Shots
13
5
Shots on Target
4
9
Shots off Target
4
13
Shots Inside Box
6
6
Corner Kicks
2
3
Offsides
2
14
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match recap

FC Midtjylland beat Brondby 4–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.32 units (Brier 0.206).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.30 — 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.10 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.30 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.76 — 52% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.62 — 56% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.50 — 34% Cashed +1.50 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.50 — 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.22 — 75% Cashed +0.22 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.58 — 58% Cashed +0.58 Cashed
Away Win 4.20 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 4.00 — 24% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −2.32u −21% ROI
Value pick of the night · Away Win
MID – BRO @ 4.20
+3.5%
Edge
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