FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby 3:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 2.38 — +14.5% better than the market.

FC Nordsjaelland shows strong home momentum with a solid recent run and higher points per game, suggesting they hold a slight edge over Brondby. The home side’s attacking potential contrasts with Brondby’s more cautious defensive approach, hinting at an open game with chances for both. Expect a lively tempo given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, supporting a match with multiple goal opportunities.

Home momentum and form advantage
Attacking threat vs defensive resilience
Likely open game with goal-scoring chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 2.38 ✓ Cashed

AI 48% Implied 42% +1.38u

+138%

ROI on stake

Lineups

NOR 3-4-3 · BRO 4-2-3-1

NOR · 3-4-3 4-2-3-1 · BRO

14 Adel

Statistics

NOR 3 – 1 BRO

40%

Possession (%)

60%

3.21

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.45

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Nordsjaelland beat Brondby 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 60% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.21 to 1.45. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.00 units (Brier 0.163).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.38	—	48%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Home Win	2.15	—	47%	Cashed	+1.15	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.70	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.50	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.38	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.57	—	68%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	71%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.50	—	64%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Away Win	3.04	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.53	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.80	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−2.00u	−18% ROI

FC Nordsjaelland vs Brondby 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled