AC Horsens vs Viborg 2:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 2.12 — +4.9% better than the market.

AC Horsens shows solid home momentum with a slightly better recent form and points per game compared to Viborg. Despite Viborg's higher expected goals pre-match, Horsens' resilience and home edge could keep the contest tight. The match hints at a balanced pace with a moderate goal environment, favoring a competitive encounter.

Horsens' home form offers a pressing edge.
Viborg's attacking threat challenges Horsens' defense.
Moderate pace suggests tactical discipline over wild open play.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X

Double Chance 1X @ 2.12 ✗ Lost

AI 50% Implied 47% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

HOR 4-2-3-1 · VIB 4-3-3

HOR · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · VIB

11 Ehibhatiomhan

Statistics

HOR 2 – 3 VIB

52%

Possession (%)

48%

0.80

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.78

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Viborg won 3–2 away at AC Horsens. At half-time it was 0–2.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.78 to 0.80. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.29 units (Brier 0.202).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Double Chance 1X	2.12	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.30	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.25	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.64	—	58%	Cashed	+0.64	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.61	—	57%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.51	—	36%	Cashed	+1.51	Cashed
Away Win	1.73	—	51%	Cashed	+0.73	Cashed
Home Win	4.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.50	—	64%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.22	—	74%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Draw	4.05	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−2.29u	−21% ROI

AC Horsens vs Viborg 2:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled