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Home Denmark Superliga AC Horsens — Lyngby

Match AC Horsens vs Lyngby August 23, 2026 — Result and Stats

Denmark   /   Superliga Value pick inside
AC Horsens
AC Horsens
Home · last 5 D L L W W
Kick-off
Sun 23 Aug · 14:00
2:1
Full-time
Lyngby
Lyngby
L D L D L Away · last 5
Referee M. Tykgaard
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 55% · book 1.90
Miss
Away Win
Away Win
AI 40% · book 2.42
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 57% · book 1.70
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
0.70 – 2.73
Δ −2.03
Possession
41% – 59%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 3.25 — +6.9% better than the market.

AC Horsens hosts Lyngby in a Superliga clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors. Lyngby’s steadier point accumulation hints at better momentum, while Horsens’ home edge is limited by inconsistent results. Expect a balanced encounter with moderate attacking intent, as the odds suggest a typical tempo and a decent chance for goals.

  • Lyngby’s more reliable form offers a pressing edge.
  • Horsens’ home setup may keep things compact.
  • Moderate pace likely to produce goal opportunities for both sides.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5
Over 3.5 @ 3.25 ✗ Lost
AI 33% Implied 31% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

📊 Statistics

HOR 21 LYN
41%
Possession (%)
59%
0.70
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.73
10
Total Shots
17
5
Shots on Target
7
2
Shots off Target
5
4
Shots Inside Box
16
2
Corner Kicks
9
1
Offsides
1
21
Fouls
10
79%
Pass Accuracy (%)
82%
4
Yellow Cards
3
6
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

AC Horsens beat Lyngby 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 59% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.73 to 0.70. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 10, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 9 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -1.62 units (Brier 0.205).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.90 55% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
Away Win 2.42 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.70 57% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
BTTS No 2.14 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.94 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.57 60% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.40 66% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.25 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.88 34% Cashed +1.88 Cashed
Draw 3.50 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.33 67% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each 5 W · 6 L −1.62u −15% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
HOR – LYN @ 3.25
+6.9%
Edge
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