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Home › England › Premier League › Wolves — Brentford

Wolves vs Brentford 0:2: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Wolves
Wolves
Home · last 5 L D L D D
Kick-off
Sat 20 Dec · 15:00
0:2
Full-time
Brentford
Brentford
L W L D D Away · last 5
Molineux Stadium · Wolverhampton Referee Matt Donohue, England
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.93 ✓
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 55% · book 2.15 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.10 ✓
Total goals
2
0 · 2
xG (open play)
1.29 – 1.28
Δ +0.01
Possession
43% – 57%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 1.93 — +10.3% better than the market.

Brentford arrive at Molineux with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Wolves’ defensive solidity is notable, but their ongoing poor run and Brentford’s sharper attack could tip the balance. Expect a tactical battle where Brentford’s pressing and Wolves’ compact block will be key.

  • Brentford’s superior overall strength and form advantage
  • Wolves’ defensive resilience versus Brentford’s attacking threat
  • Moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds, favoring a controlled game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 1.93 ✓ Cashed
AI 57% Implied 52% +0.93u
+93%
ROI on stake

Statistics

WOL 0 – 2 BRE
43%
Possession (%)
57%
1.29
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.28
9
Total Shots
7
2
Shots on Target
6
1
Shots off Target
1
6
Shots Inside Box
7
3
Corner Kicks
4
2
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
15
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
2
Yellow Cards
4
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2

Match events

13 · 0 – 2
19'
▮
Sepp van den Berg
Yellow Card
João Gomes
Yellow Card
▮
24'
Hee-Chan Hwang
Yellow Card
▮
44'
44'
▮
Michael Kayode
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 0
63'
⚽
K. Lewis-Potter
Assist · V. Janelt · 0–1
64'
⇄
M. Damsgaard ↓ · M. Jensen ↑
Substitution 1
M. Mane ↓ · F. Lopez ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
65'
72'
▮
Rico Henry
Yellow Card
T. Arokodare ↓ · K. Hoever ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
81'
83'
⚽
K. Lewis-Potter
Assist · M. Damsgaard · 0–2
J. Arias ↓ · Hwang Hee-Chan ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
89'
J. Tchatchoua ↓ · M. Doherty ↑
Substitution 4
⇄
89'
90'
▮
Vitaly Janelt
Yellow Card
Full-time · 0 – 2

Match recap

Brentford won 2–0 away at Wolves. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: K. Lewis-Potter (63'), K. Lewis-Potter (83').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.22 units (Brier 0.114).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 1.93 — 57% Cashed +0.93 Cashed
Away Win 2.15 — 55% Cashed +1.15 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 — 52% Cashed +1.10 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.82 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 2.03 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.80 — 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 2.67 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.33 — 80% Cashed +0.33 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.70 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.52 — 55% Cashed +0.52 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.00 — 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.34 — 77% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.07 — 90% Cashed +0.07 Cashed
Draw 3.60 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.34 — 69% Cashed +0.34 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.50 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 3.80 — 20% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −4.22u −25% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
WOL – BRE @ 1.93
+10.3%
Edge
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