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Home › Scotland › Premiership › Dundee Utd — Hibernian

Dundee Utd vs Hibernian 1:0: Match Review & Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 14:00
1:0
Full-time
Hibernian
Hibernian
L L L D L Away · last 5
CalForth Construction Arena · Dundee
Hit
Home Win
Home Win
AI 42% · book 2.80 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 47% · book 2.20 ✓
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 43% · book 2.35 ✓
Total goals
1
1 · 0
xG (open play)
1.75 – 0.82
Δ +0.93
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance 1X at 1.57 — +6.2% better than the market.

Dundee Utd hosts Hibernian at Tannadice Park in a clash where home momentum meets away quality. Dundee Utd’s defensive solidity and home edge could challenge Hibernian’s sharper attack, though the visitors’ recent form suggests they can exploit gaps. Expect a tactical battle with moderate tempo, leaning towards a compact block from the hosts and probing attacks from Hibernian.

  • Home defensive resilience vs away offensive threat
  • Recent form favors Hibernian’s consistency
  • Moderate pace hints at a balanced, strategic game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance 1X
Double Chance 1X @ 1.57 ✓ Cashed
AI 68% Implied 64% +0.57u
+57%
ROI on stake

Statistics

DUN 1 – 0 HIB
45%
Possession (%)
55%
1.75
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.82
17
Total Shots
13
8
Shots on Target
4
5
Shots off Target
2
10
Shots Inside Box
7
8
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
13
Fouls
14
4
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
7

Match recap

Dundee Utd beat Hibernian 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.75 to 0.82. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 13, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.64 units (Brier 0.211).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 2.80 — 42% Cashed +1.80 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.20 — 47% Cashed +1.20 Cashed
BTTS No 2.35 — 43% Cashed +1.35 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.67 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.75 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.36 — 32% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.57 — 68% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 — 70% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.57 — 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.41 — 58% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.50 — 25% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −0.64u −6% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance 1X
DUN – HIB @ 1.57
+6.2%
Edge
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