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Home › Scotland › Premiership › Rangers — Kilmarnock

Rangers vs Kilmarnock 3:1: Match Review & Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Rangers
Rangers
Home · last 5 W W W W W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Oct · 14:00
3:1
Full-time
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
L D W D L Away · last 5
Ibrox Stadium · Glasgow
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 60% · book 1.83 ✗
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 63% · book 1.80 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 40% · book 1.95 ✓
Total goals
4
3 · 1
xG (open play)
1.50 – 1.21
Δ +0.29
Possession
60% – 40%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.80 — +12.7% better than the market.

Rangers enter this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a flawless recent run and a significant quality edge over Kilmarnock. Their robust defense and potent attack are likely to stifle Kilmarnock’s efforts, who have struggled for consistency away. The pace of the game may lean towards a controlled tempo, favoring Rangers’ compact block and set-piece threat.

  • Home advantage with a pressing edge
  • Rangers’ solid defensive shape vs Kilmarnock’s modest offense
  • Recent form strongly favors the hosts

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.80 ✗ Lost
AI 63% Implied 56% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

RAN 3 – 1 KIL
60%
Possession (%)
40%
1.50
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.21
18
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
7
Shots off Target
5
12
Shots Inside Box
11
8
Corner Kicks
3
1
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
1
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1

Match recap

Rangers beat Kilmarnock 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 3–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 60% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 13, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 3. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.50 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -3.40 units (Brier 0.180).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 1.83 — 60% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.80 — 63% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.95 — 40% Cashed +0.95 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.00 — 37% Cashed +1.00 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.00 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.05 — 95% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Home Win 1.20 — 79% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.40 — 58% Cashed +0.40 Cashed
Draw 6.50 — 16% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 4.50 — 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 13.00 — 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L −3.40u −31% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
RAN – KIL @ 1.80
+12.7%
Edge
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