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Home › Scotland › Premiership › Dundee Utd — Falkirk

Dundee Utd vs Falkirk 1:1: Match Review & Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
Home · last 5 W L D W W
Kick-off
Sat 05 Sep · 14:00
1:1
Full-time
Falkirk
Falkirk
L D W D L Away · last 5
CalForth Construction Arena · Dundee
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 51% · book 2.30 ✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 54% · book 2.16 ✓
Hit
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 57% · book 1.73 ✓
Total goals
2
1 · 1
Possession
62% – 38%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.44 — +7.0% better than the market.

Dundee Utd hosts Falkirk at Tannadice Park in a clash where recent form slightly favors the visitors, who have shown more consistency. Home momentum is tempered by Dundee Utd's struggles to convert chances, while Falkirk's compact defensive setup could limit goal opportunities. The match hints at a cautious tempo with under 2.5 goals likely, as both sides have shown defensive resilience and a tendency for tight encounters.

  • Dundee Utd's home edge is modest, suggesting a balanced contest.
  • Falkirk's better recent form may provide a pressing edge.
  • Odds and past meetings indicate a low-scoring, tactical battle.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.44 ✓ Cashed
AI 74% Implied 69% +0.44u
+44%
ROI on stake

Statistics

DUN 1 – 1 FAL
62%
Possession (%)
38%
27
Total Shots
11
9
Shots on Target
4
10
Shots off Target
3
21
Shots Inside Box
7
14
Corner Kicks
5
2
Offsides
1
15
Fouls
14
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
8

Match recap

Dundee Utd and Falkirk drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 27 shots to 11, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 14 to 5. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +0.90 units (Brier 0.201).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS No 2.30 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.16 — 54% Cashed +1.16 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.73 — 57% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Home Win 2.12 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.73 — 46% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.62 — 49% Cashed +0.62 Cashed
Over 3.5 2.75 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.44 — 74% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.35 — 69% Cashed +0.35 Cashed
Away Win 3.25 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.60 — 25% Cashed +2.60 Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 5 L +0.90u +8% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
DUN – FAL @ 1.44
+7.0%
Edge
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