Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian 1:3

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.81 — +13.7% better than the market.

This Edinburgh derby promises a balanced contest with both sides showing similar recent form. Hibernian's home momentum and slightly higher expected goals hint at a pressing edge, while Hearts' consistent away performances suggest a compact block and counter threat. The match could lean towards an open game given the odds favoring over 2.5 goals, highlighting potential set-piece opportunities and attacking intent from both teams.

Hibernian's home pressure vs Hearts' resilient defense
Both sides in decent form, likely competitive tempo
Goal-scoring chances expected, supporting over 2.5 goals

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5

Over 2.5 @ 1.81 ✓ Cashed

AI 63% Implied 55% +0.81u

+81%

ROI on stake

Lineups

HIB 3-4-1-2 · HEA 4-4-2

HIB · 3-4-1-2 4-4-2 · HEA

9 Lowe

Statistics

HIB 1 – 3 HEA

55%

Possession (%)

45%

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Heart Of Midlothian won 3–1 away at Hibernian. At half-time it was 0–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 55% of the ball. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 12, 4 on target.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -0.16 units (Brier 0.215).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.81	—	63%	Cashed	+0.81	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	65%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Away Win	2.66	—	37%	Cashed	+1.66	Cashed
Home Win	2.50	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.16	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.00	—	37%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.20	—	41%	Cashed	+2.20	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.50	—	63%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.50	—	63%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.36	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−0.16u	−1% ROI

Hibernian vs Heart Of Midlothian 1:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled