Dundee vs Hibernian 1:2 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Home Win at 3.10 — +9.6% better than the market.

Dundee shows strong home momentum with a perfect recent points tally, suggesting confidence and sharpness in attack. Their higher expected goals hint at a pressing edge, while Hibernian’s inconsistent form and lower points per game indicate defensive vulnerabilities. The match likely features open play, supported by balanced odds for over 2.5 goals and BTTS, pointing to a lively contest with chances at both ends.

Dundee’s home form fuels attacking intent
Hibernian’s defensive lapses invite pressure
Moderate pace expected, favoring goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Home Win

Home Win @ 3.10 ✗ Lost

AI 35% Implied 32% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

Lineups

DUN 4-2-3-1 · HIB 4-3-3

DUN · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · HIB

19 Westley

Statistics

DUN 1 – 2 HIB

39%

Possession (%)

61%

0.78

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.42

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

87%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Hibernian won 2–1 away at Dundee. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 61% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.42 to 0.78. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 25 shots to 11, 7 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net -2.46 units (Brier 0.179).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	64%	Cashed	+0.70	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.91	—	61%	Cashed	+0.91	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.67	—	61%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.21	—	39%	Cashed	+1.21	Cashed
BTTS No	2.11	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	1.95	—	39%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	3.20	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	3.10	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.36	—	65%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Draw	3.48	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.36	—	59%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	5 W · 6 L	−2.46u	−22% ROI

Dundee vs Hibernian 1:2: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled