P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🎫 Bookmakers 🏆 Tournament
Home › Scotland › Premiership › ST Mirren — Motherwell

ST Mirren vs Motherwell 3:3: Match Review & Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Home · last 5 W L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 14:00
3:3
Full-time
Motherwell
Motherwell
D W L L L Away · last 5
The SMiSA Stadium · Paisley Referee K. Clancy
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 57% · book 1.94 ✓
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 59% · book 1.75 ✓
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 39% · book 2.53 ✗
Total goals
6
3 · 3
xG (open play)
2.27 – 2.17
Δ +0.10
Possession
45% – 55%
AI accuracy
6 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 2.5 at 1.94 — +10.1% better than the market.

ST Mirren arrives with strong home momentum, unbeaten in recent matches and boasting a perfect points record. Their solid form contrasts with Motherwell's mixed results, suggesting a home edge in confidence and rhythm. The match hints at a balanced pace, with both sides capable of creating chances, supported by historical draws and a recent convincing win for Mirren.

  • Home side's winning streak fuels attacking intent
  • Motherwell's resilience may keep the game tight
  • Moderate tempo likely to produce goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Over 2.5
Over 2.5 @ 1.94 ✓ Cashed
AI 57% Implied 52% +0.94u
+94%
ROI on stake

Statistics

MIR 3 – 3 MOT
45%
Possession (%)
55%
2.27
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.17
23
Total Shots
22
9
Shots on Target
7
6
Shots off Target
9
17
Shots Inside Box
16
7
Corner Kicks
7
1
Offsides
2
14
Fouls
12
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
91%
2
Yellow Cards
2
4
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match recap

ST Mirren and Motherwell drew 3–3. At half-time it was 3–2.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 55% of the ball. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 6 landed and 5 missed, for a net +2.36 units (Brier 0.238).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 6 W · 5 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.94 — 57% Cashed +0.94 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.75 — 59% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Home Win 2.53 — 39% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 2.77 — 33% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.05 — 41% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 1.91 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.44 — 67% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.53 — 61% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.40 — 35% Cashed +2.40 Cashed
Draw 3.30 — 27% Cashed +2.30 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.33 — 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 6 W · 5 L +2.36u +21% ROI
Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
MIR – MOT @ 1.94
+10.1%
Edge
Forecast →