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Home Scotland Premiership ST Mirren — Motherwell

Preview ST Mirren vs Motherwell August 30, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
ST Mirren
ST Mirren
Home · last 5 W W
Kick-off
Sun 30 Aug · 14:00
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Motherwell
Motherwell
W D Away · last 5
The SMISA Stadium · Paisley Referee K. Clancy
Home Win · MIR
39%
Best 2.53
Draw
27%
Best 3.30
Away Win · MOT
33%
Best 2.77

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward both teams to score — 59% probability.

Also rated highly: Over 2.5 goals 57%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

ST Mirren arrives with strong home momentum, unbeaten in recent matches and boasting a perfect points record. Their solid form contrasts with Motherwell's mixed results, suggesting a home edge in confidence and rhythm. The match hints at a balanced pace, with both sides capable of creating chances, supported by historical draws and a recent convincing win for Mirren.

  • Home side's winning streak fuels attacking intent
  • Motherwell's resilience may keep the game tight
  • Moderate tempo likely to produce goal opportunities

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 39% ST Mirren win
Over/Under 2.5 57% Over 2.5
BTTS 59% Yes
Double Chance 67% 1X
  • 1X2 ST Mirren win 39%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57%
  • BTTS Yes 59%
  • Double Chance 1X 67%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
ST Mirren
W/D/L 3-2-0
Goals (for / against) 6 / 2
Avg goals / match 1.6
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 3/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 0/5
Home (W-D-L) 2-1-0
Away (W-D-L) 1-1-0
xG (for / against) 1.36 / 0.81
Motherwell
W/D/L 2-2-1
Goals (for / against) 6 / 5
Avg goals / match 2.2
Scored in 4/5
Clean sheets 2/5
Both teams scored 3/5
Over 2.5 2/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-2-1
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-0
xG (for / against) 1.12 / 1.13

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.50
Goals Scored
1
0
Goals Conceded
0.50
1.44
Expected Goals (xG)
1.45
4.50
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
2
47
Possession (%)
55
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
25
OFF · home
17
58
DEF · home
100
67
OFF · away
83
100
DEF · away
42
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

ST Mirren wins when scoring first
Motherwell wins when scoring first
ST Mirren BTTS rate · last 10
20%
Motherwell BTTS rate · last 10
60%
ST Mirren Over 2.5 · last 10
10%
Motherwell Over 2.5 · last 10
50%
ST Mirren comeback rate · last 10
0%
Motherwell comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Not enough finished matches yet to highlight a scoring pattern.

Top scorers

K. Phillips
MIR · Midfielder
3 G · 1.50 g/90
R. Idowu
MIR · Midfielder
0 G
I. Said
MOT · Attacker
1 G · 0.50 g/90
L. Fadinger
MOT · Midfielder
1 G · 1.00 g/90