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Home › Scotland › Premiership › Kilmarnock — Dundee Utd

Kilmarnock vs Dundee Utd 0:4: Match Review & Stats

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
Home · last 5 L D W D L
Kick-off
Sat 29 Aug · 14:00
0:4
Full-time
Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
W L D W W Away · last 5
Referee N. Walsh
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 56% · book 2.10 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 52% · book 2.25 ✓
Hit
Away Win
Away Win
AI 36% · book 2.75 ✓
Total goals
4
0 · 4
xG (open play)
1.03 – 3.37
Δ −2.34
Possession
51% – 49%
AI accuracy
5 / 11
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.44 — +8.9% better than the market.

Kilmarnock and Dundee Utd enter this Premiership clash with both sides struggling for form, reflected in their recent results. The home side has yet to find points this season, while Dundee Utd shows slightly better resilience. Expect a cautious game with a compact defensive approach from both teams, limiting clear chances.

  • Low recent scoring trends suggest a tight match.
  • Both sides likely to prioritize defensive solidity.
  • Historical draws hint at a balanced contest.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5
Under 3.5 @ 1.44 ✗ Lost
AI 76% Implied 69% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

Statistics

KIL 0 – 4 DUN
51%
Possession (%)
49%
1.03
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.37
16
Total Shots
21
4
Shots on Target
8
4
Shots off Target
9
10
Shots Inside Box
15
3
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
3
11
Fouls
12
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
85%
3
Yellow Cards
3
4
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Dundee Utd won 4–0 away at Kilmarnock. At half-time it was 0–3.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.37 to 1.03. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 21 shots to 16, 8 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 11 graded markets, 5 landed and 6 missed, for a net +0.04 units (Brier 0.309).

Bet recap · markets settled

11 · 5 W · 6 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.10 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.25 — 52% Cashed +1.25 Cashed
Away Win 2.75 — 36% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
Home Win 2.50 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.76 — 44% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.62 — 48% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.75 — 24% Cashed +1.75 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 — 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.53 — 62% Cashed +0.53 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.44 — 64% Lost −1.00 Miss
Draw 3.42 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 11 markets @ 1u each — — — 5 W · 6 L +0.04u +0% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 3.5
KIL – DUN @ 1.44
+8.9%
Edge
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