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Home Scotland Premiership Hibernian — Kilmarnock

Preview Hibernian vs Kilmarnock September 15, 2026 — Preview and Prediction

Scotland   /   Premiership Value pick inside
Hibernian
Hibernian
Home · last 5 L W W L L
Kick-off
Tue 15 Sep · 18:45
:
Pre-match · scheduled
Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
L L L L D Away · last 5
Home Win · HIB
52%
Best 1.50
Draw
24%
Best 4.50
Away Win · KIL
24%
Best 6.50

🧠 Model verdict

Model leans toward Over 2.5 goals — 57% probability.

Also rated highly: both teams to score 56%.

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

AI preview · 90 sec read

Hibernian show signs of home momentum after a recent win, while Kilmarnock struggle with back-to-back losses. The home side's attacking potential looks stronger, supported by a higher expected goal rate, suggesting they can challenge Kilmarnock's defense effectively. The match could see a moderate pace, with both teams likely to test each other's resilience.

  • Hibernian's recent form gives them a slight edge.
  • Kilmarnock's defense may be under pressure.
  • Moderate goal environment expected based on odds.

Most likely outcomes

What the model rates as most likely in each market.

Market Prob. % Pred.
1X2 52% Hibernian win
Over/Under 2.5 57% Over 2.5
BTTS 56% Yes
Double Chance 76% 1X
  • 1X2 Hibernian win 52%
  • Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 57%
  • BTTS Yes 56%
  • Double Chance 1X 76%
Open betting analysis

Recent form

Last 5 matches · all competitions
Hibernian
W/D/L 2-0-3
Goals (for / against) 7 / 9
Avg goals / match 3.2
Scored in 5/5
Clean sheets 0/5
Both teams scored 5/5
Over 2.5 5/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-0-2
Away (W-D-L) 2-0-1
xG (for / against) 2.03 / 1.61
Kilmarnock
W/D/L 0-1-4
Goals (for / against) 4 / 14
Avg goals / match 3.6
Scored in 2/5
Clean sheets 1/5
Both teams scored 2/5
Over 2.5 3/5
Home (W-D-L) 0-0-3
Away (W-D-L) 0-1-1
xG (for / against) 0.89 / 3.59

Head-to-Head Performance

last 10 H2H · per match
1.40
Goals Scored
0.80
1.80
Goals Conceded
2.80
1.22
Expected Goals (xG)
0.54
4.40
Shots on Target
4.20
6.20
Corners
5
46
Possession (%)
44
Efficiency index
Adjusted index
Eff. index — performance vs season baseline. Adj. index — efficiency normalised for opponent strength.

📡 Team strength

0–100 rating vs league · season-to-date
58
OFF · home
0
17
DEF · home
8
67
OFF · away
8
50
DEF · away
83
Each axis is rated 0–100 against all teams in the same league this season. 100 = league best on that axis, 0 = league worst. Higher is better.

🎯 Scenario insights

Hibernian wins when scoring first
Kilmarnock wins when scoring first
Hibernian BTTS rate · last 10
90%
Kilmarnock BTTS rate · last 10
40%
Hibernian Over 2.5 · last 10
90%
Kilmarnock Over 2.5 · last 10
70%
Hibernian comeback rate · last 10
0%
Kilmarnock comeback rate · last 10
0%

🔥 Goal timing

Not enough finished matches yet to highlight a scoring pattern.

Top scorers

M. Boyle
HIB · Attacker
2 G · 0.67 g/90
C. Wright
HIB · Midfielder
2 G · 0.96 g/90
G. Kiltie
KIL · Midfielder
1 G · 0.34 g/90
J. Hugill
KIL · Attacker
1 G · 0.50 g/90